Thursday, January 12, 2012
Taking in the Mets off-season, How many wins will the Mets have this season?
The offense is a question mark because most of these guys currently projected in the Mets Lineup were on the Disabled List at sometime last season. Hopefully getting back a healthy Daniel Murphy and Ike Davis can only give Mets pluses offensively. Lucas Duda can only improve from what he started late last season. David Wright and Jason Bay's numbers hopefully can only improve due to the new dimensions, which are currently being installed.. I think the three mysteries the Mets will face offensively this season are : 1)How well will Andres Torres perform in the leadoff spot replacing Jose Reyes?. 2)Will Josh Thole improve on his hitting and can he handle catching everyday?. 3)How much offense will the Mets get out of Ruben Tejada? Those three can sway the objective number of wins big time, but it all has to play out.
The Mets say that they have solved the back end of the bullpen woes with the additions of Francisco, Rauch, and Ramirez. Last year getting to the ninth was the problem and even closing it. Now with the new additions plus guys like Parnell can really give them some depth that they did not have last year.. This for sure can only lead the Mets to more wins, but again we have to score and be in the lead for that to happen.
The Mets rotation does not have any new parts , but does have a old part coming back in Johan Santana. How much will Johan be able to contribute is still pretty much a mystery until we see him work. The Mets have to see him at a 12-15 wins this season.. But that is being very optimistic.. Niece and Gee will have to maintain the numbers they posted last season and Dickey has to be himself again.. The main key to the Mets rotation will be Mike Pelfrey. It will be a make or break season for him in New York. The Mets kept him because they know he eats innings, but will he throw quality innings in 2012? He would definitely be a big plus if he can stack up 15 wins (LOL). Certainly he would make the Mets executive dream team look like geniuses and he would shut up a lot of people that have criticized him in the past. The Mets again won't be throwing Cy-Young award winners at their opponents every night, but they have some guys in their rotation that will give them a chance to compete.
Taking all of this into consideration and listening to Michael Kay (Yankees Announcer) tell everyone that the Mets will only win 55 to 60 games is ridiculous. But what can you say? Take it from where it's coming from...We are not his glorious Yankees nor do the Mets pay him (wink). The Mets in my mind are not going to be that bad, even NYBD's Mike Silva took him up on a bet.
The obvious has to happen for everyone to get a good read on what the Mets can do. They have to stay healthy. I won't go as far as saying they will win the division, but I think they have a chance to be in the 80-90 win range. Will that be enough to get them in the play-offs? Probably not with Marlins and pretty much the rest of the division getting better..All this while the Mets counted their change this off-season.
Here is your chance to vote (below/right sidebar) how many wins do you think the Mets will have in 2012 ?